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Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 100% Completed Match 100% Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 2 Winner 100% Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $498K Liquidity: $371K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi100%
Completed Match100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 2 Winner100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 1 Winner100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Match O/U 21.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Match O/U 22.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to bogota: hernan casanova vs luciano emanuel ambrogi. This market refers to the tennis match between Hernan Casanova and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casa…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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