Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Oswin Appollis: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Oswin Appollis: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target | 100% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Oswin Appollis: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ali Ahmed: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Promise David: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Promise David: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Promise David: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Promise David: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Owen Goodman: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Owen Goodman: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Owen Goodman: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Owen Goodman: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Ricardo Goss: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Ricardo Goss: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Ricardo Goss: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Ricardo Goss: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Oswin Appollis: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tajon Buchanan: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ali Ahmed: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Alphonso Davies: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Relebohile Mofokeng: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Teboho Mokoena: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Liam Millar: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Nathan Saliba: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Thapelo Maseko: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
Market context
South Africa vs. Canada - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews South Africa vs. Canada - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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