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Mexico vs. England - Exact Score

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Mexico vs. England - Exact Score" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Mexico 1 - 1 England 14% Mexico 0 - 1 England 13% Mexico 0 - 0 England 11% Mexico 1 - 0 England 11% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mexico 1 - 1 England14%
Mexico 0 - 1 England13%
Mexico 0 - 0 England11%
Mexico 1 - 0 England11%
Mexico 1 - 2 England9%
Mexico 0 - 2 England8%
Mexico 2 - 1 England8%
Mexico 2 - 0 England6%
Mexico 2 - 2 England5%
Any Other Score5%
Mexico 0 - 3 England3%
Mexico 1 - 3 England3%
Mexico 3 - 1 England3%
Mexico 3 - 0 England2%
Mexico 2 - 3 England2%
Mexico 3 - 2 England2%
Mexico 3 - 3 England1%

Market context

The Mexico vs. England - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 14% YES. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mexico vs. England match originally s…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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