Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3… | Kalshi Vs Polymarket 2026

Name: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Start: 2026-08-13T11:19:41.000Z
End: 2026-08-14T08:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	90%	10%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	90%	10%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Ends in Daytime	90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	60%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	50%
Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	45%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	45%
O/U 2.5 Games	28%
Game 2 Winner	24%
Match Winner	12%
Any Player Ultra Kill	10%
Any Player Rampage	10%
First Blood in Game 1?	10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	10%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?	10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	9%
Game 1 Winner	0%
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: xtreme gaming vs gamerlegion (bo3) - the international group stage stands at 90% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

Trade Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The Int… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The Int… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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