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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Ends in Daytime 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $577K Liquidity: $890K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner28%
Match Winner14%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

The Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Vici Gaming and Team Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 9 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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