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Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Ends in Daytime 90% First Blood in Game 2? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $505K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: rekonix vs parivision (bo2) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 9 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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