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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Match Winner 89% Map 2 Winner 66% Volume: $665K Liquidity: $799K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Match Winner89%
Map 2 Winner66%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)65%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)42%
O/U 2.5 Games36%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: spirit vs betboom team (bo3) - pgl masters bucharest group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Spirit and BetBoom Team in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:00 AM…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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