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Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 52% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $412K Liquidity: $476K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)47%
Map 2 Winner45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)33%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)32%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)27%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)20%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 52% probability to counter-strike: m80 vs nip (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between M80 and NIP in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 wi…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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