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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 100% Volume: $277K Liquidity: $92K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.560%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Match Winner39%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)9%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs Team Nemesis (+9.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: fnatic vs team nemesis (bo3) - stake ranked episode 5: closed qualifier playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between fnatic and Team Nemesis in the Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for Septemb…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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