Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: ENJOY (-1.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-3.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-3.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+3.5) | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-Sashi Academy (-3.5) vs ENJOY (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-6.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-9.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-9.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-3.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-6.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ENJOY and ex-Sashi Academy in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:30AM ET. T…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - Eu… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
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