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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 90% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $344K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.573%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: 1win vs bc.game esports (bo3) - esports world cup open qualifier group 6. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between 1WIN and BC.Game Esports in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6, initially scheduled for August 7 at 8:50AM …

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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