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Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $806K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5100%
Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5100%
Millonarios FC O/U 0.5100%
Millonarios FC O/U 1.5100%
Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Millonarios FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Millonarios FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Independiente Medellín (-1.5)0%
Millonarios FC (-1.5)0%
Independiente Medellín (-2.5)0%
Millonarios FC (-2.5)0%
Independiente Medellín (-3.5)0%
Millonarios FC (-3.5)0%
Independiente Medellín (-4.5)0%
Millonarios FC (-4.5)0%
Independiente Medellín (-5.5)0%
Millonarios FC (-5.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 2.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 3.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 4.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 5.50%
Millonarios FC O/U 2.50%
Millonarios FC O/U 3.50%
Millonarios FC O/U 4.50%
Millonarios FC O/U 5.50%
Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Millonarios FC 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Millonarios FC 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
2nd Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 4.50%
Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
Millonarios FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Millonarios FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Millonarios FC 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Millonarios FC 2nd Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, independiente medellín vs. millonarios fc - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for September 29 at 9:05 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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