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FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia

Five-platform snapshot of "FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Draw 43% FC Spartak Trnava 33% FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 26% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
43% 57% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
43% 57% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw43%
FC Spartak Trnava33%
FK CSKA 1948 Sofia26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, fc spartak trnava vs. fk cska 1948 sofia stands at 43% likelihood according to current market consensus. This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between FC Spartak Trnava and FK CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 43% for "FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia".

Draw 43% Other 57%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $113K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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