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Cerezo Osaka vs. Borussia Dortmund - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Cerezo Osaka vs. Borussia Dortmund - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Cerezo Osaka O/U 0.5 100% Cerezo Osaka 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $74K Liquidity: $630K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Cerezo Osaka vs. Borussia Dortmund - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Cerezo Osaka O/U 0.5100%
Cerezo Osaka 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Cerezo Osaka (-1.5)0%
Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)0%
Cerezo Osaka (-2.5)0%
Borussia Dortmund (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Cerezo Osaka O/U 1.50%
Cerezo Osaka O/U 2.50%
Borussia Dortmund O/U 0.50%
Borussia Dortmund O/U 1.50%
Borussia Dortmund O/U 2.50%
Cerezo Osaka 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Borussia Dortmund 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Borussia Dortmund 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Cerezo Osaka 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Cerezo Osaka 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Borussia Dortmund 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Borussia Dortmund 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cerezo osaka vs. borussia dortmund - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Club Friendlies game, scheduled for July 29 at 6:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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