Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 89% |
| UNLV vs. Akron | 82% |
| O/U 40.5 | 80% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| Spread -3.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| O/U 48.5 | 70% |
| O/U 44.5 | 69% |
| Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| O/U 46.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 66% |
| Spread -12.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 58% |
| O/U 50.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| Akron O/U 17.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 54% |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Akron O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Akron O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Akron 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Akron 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Akron 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Akron 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Akron 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Akron 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Akron O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Akron 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Akron 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Akron Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Akron Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Akron Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -15.5 | 46% |
| Akron O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| Spread -18.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| Spread -19.5 | 40% |
| O/U 56.5 | 39% |
| O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| UNLV O/U 31.5 | 39% |
| Akron O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| Spread -22.5 | 36% |
| O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 33% |
| Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| O/U 68.5 | 32% |
| UNLV O/U 34.5 | 32% |
| Spread -21.5 | 28% |
| UNLV O/U 37.5 | 25% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Spread -24.5 | 22% |
| Spread -27.5 | 19% |
| Spread -30.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 70.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
Market context
Market consensus: 89% chance of unlv vs. akron. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Akron, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $514K.
Methodology
We track UNLV vs. Akron across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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