How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

UCLA vs. Maryland — Platform Comparison | Kalshi Vs Polymarket 2026

Name: UCLA vs. Maryland
Start: 2026-09-21T19:13:18.000Z
End: 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	89%	11%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	89%	11%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 37.5	89%
O/U 41.5	84%
O/U 43.5	80%
O/U 47.5	75%
O/U 45.5	72%
O/U 49.5	65%
UCLA O/U 34.5	62%
O/U 51.5	61%
O/U 53.5	57%
UCLA vs. Maryland	54%
Spread -0.5	54%
Spread -1.5	53%
O/U 55.5	52%
UCLA 1H O/U 13.5	52%
1H Moneyline	52%
1Q O/U 10.5	51%
Spread -22.5	50%
Spread -19.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
Spread -15.5	50%
Spread -2.5	50%
Spread -8.5	50%
Spread -12.5	50%
Spread -15.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
1H O/U 22.5	50%
1H O/U 25.5	50%
1H O/U 31.5	50%
2H Spread -3.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -3.5	50%
2H O/U 22.5	50%
2H O/U 25.5	50%
2H O/U 28.5	50%
2H O/U 31.5	50%
2H O/U 34.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
2Q Spread -3.5	50%
2Q Spread -2.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q O/U 10.5	50%
2Q O/U 13.5	50%
2Q O/U 22.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q O/U 7.5	50%
3Q O/U 10.5	50%
3Q O/U 13.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q Spread -3.5	50%
4Q Spread -2.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q O/U 8.5	50%
4Q O/U 11.5	50%
4Q O/U 14.5	50%
4Q O/U 17.5	50%
4Q O/U 20.5	50%
UCLA O/U 22.5	50%
UCLA O/U 25.5	50%
UCLA O/U 28.5	50%
UCLA O/U 31.5	50%
Maryland O/U 22.5	50%
Maryland O/U 25.5	50%
Maryland O/U 31.5	50%
UCLA 1H O/U 11.5	50%
UCLA 1H O/U 15.5	50%
Maryland 1H O/U 11.5	50%
Maryland 1H O/U 13.5	50%
Maryland 1H O/U 15.5	50%
UCLA 2H O/U 12.5	50%
UCLA 2H O/U 14.5	50%
UCLA 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Maryland 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Maryland 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Maryland 2H O/U 15.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
UCLA O/U 3.5	50%
Maryland O/U 3.5	50%
1Q Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5	50%
Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
UCLA vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
1H Spread -0.5	49%
1Q O/U 7.5	49%
2Q O/U 16.5	49%
2Q O/U 19.5	49%
3Q Spread -2.5	49%
1H O/U 28.5	48%
O/U 39.5	47%
1H Spread -1.5	47%
Spread -0.5	46%
Spread -1.5	45%
O/U 57.5	45%
1H Spread -0.5	45%
1Q O/U 13.5	45%
Maryland O/U 28.5	45%
2H Spread -1.5	44%
Spread -2.5	43%
1H Spread -1.5	43%
Spread -3.5	42%
O/U 59.5	41%
1Q O/U 16.5	40%
1Q Spread -0.5	39%
Spread -4.5	38%
1H Spread -3.5	38%
Spread -3.5	37%
Spread -6.5	36%
Spread -5.5	36%
O/U 61.5	36%
O/U 63.5	35%
1H Spread -3.5	34%
Spread -4.5	33%
Spread -5.5	31%
Spread -6.5	29%
Spread -7.5	28%
Spread -8.5	27%
Spread -9.5	26%
O/U 65.5	26%
1H O/U 34.5	26%
3Q O/U 16.5	26%
Maryland O/U 34.5	26%
O/U 67.5	24%
Spread -10.5	23%
O/U 71.5	22%
Spread -11.5	18%
Spread -12.5	17%
Spread -16.5	14%
O/U 69.5	14%
O/U 73.5	14%
3Q O/U 19.5	14%
Spread -14.5	13%
1Q O/U 19.5	12%
O/U 75.5	10%
O/U 77.5	9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 89% YES probability for UCLA vs. Maryland. In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Maryland, scheduled for September 26 at 1:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Maryland…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 37.5 at 89% for "UCLA vs. Maryland".

O/U 37.5 89% Other 11%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $272K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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UCLA vs. Maryland

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UCLA vs. Maryland on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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