Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Troy vs. Louisiana — Venue Overview | Kalshi Vs Polymarket 2026

Name: Troy vs. Louisiana
Start: 2026-10-06T00:53:48.000Z
End: 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1Q Spread -0.5	100%
1Q Spread -1.5	100%
1Q Spread -3.5	100%
1H Spread -3.5	90%
Spread -0.5	88%
Spread -1.5	83%
Spread -2.5	80%
Spread -3.5	75%
Spread -4.5	74%
Spread -5.5	71%
Spread -6.5	67%
Spread -8.5	63%
O/U 35.5	63%
Spread -7.5	61%
Louisiana O/U 23.5	59%
O/U 37.5	54%
Spread -0.5	53%
Louisiana 1H O/U 12.5	53%
Spread -10.5	51%
Spread -20.5	50%
O/U 39.5	50%
O/U 71.5	50%
O/U 73.5	50%
O/U 75.5	50%
1H O/U 21.5	50%
1H O/U 33.5	50%
2H O/U 21.5	50%
2H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 27.5	50%
2H O/U 30.5	50%
2H O/U 33.5	50%
2Q O/U 7.5	50%
2Q O/U 10.5	50%
2Q O/U 13.5	50%
2Q O/U 16.5	50%
2Q O/U 19.5	50%
3Q O/U 7.5	50%
3Q O/U 10.5	50%
3Q O/U 13.5	50%
3Q O/U 16.5	50%
3Q O/U 19.5	50%
4Q O/U 7.5	50%
4Q O/U 10.5	50%
4Q O/U 13.5	50%
4Q O/U 16.5	50%
4Q O/U 19.5	50%
Troy O/U 29.5	50%
Troy O/U 32.5	50%
Louisiana O/U 26.5	50%
Louisiana O/U 29.5	50%
Louisiana O/U 32.5	50%
Louisiana O/U 35.5	50%
Troy 1H O/U 11.5	50%
Troy 1H O/U 13.5	50%
Troy 1H O/U 15.5	50%
Louisiana 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Louisiana 1H O/U 16.5	50%
Troy 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Troy 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Troy 2H O/U 15.5	50%
Louisiana 2H O/U 12.5	50%
Louisiana 2H O/U 14.5	50%
Louisiana 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Troy vs. Louisiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H Spread -0.5	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H Spread -2.5	50%
1H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -3.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -2.5	50%
2Q Spread -3.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -2.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -2.5	50%
4Q Spread -3.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Louisiana O/U 3.5	50%
Troy O/U 2.5	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
O/U 41.5	43%
Spread -13.5	42%
1H O/U 30.5	40%
Spread -14.5	38%
1H O/U 27.5	37%
O/U 43.5	34%
O/U 45.5	34%
Spread -16.5	32%
Spread -17.5	28%
O/U 53.5	28%
Troy O/U 20.5	27%
O/U 57.5	26%
O/U 59.5	26%
O/U 63.5	25%
O/U 65.5	25%
O/U 69.5	25%
O/U 47.5	22%
Spread -20.5	19%
2Q Moneyline	19%
O/U 49.5	18%
Troy vs. Louisiana	13%
Spread -1.5	13%
O/U 51.5	13%
Troy O/U 23.5	13%
Spread -2.5	11%
Troy O/U 26.5	10%
Spread -3.5	9%
Spread -4.5	8%
O/U 55.5	8%
1H O/U 24.5	8%
Spread -5.5	7%
Spread -8.5	6%
Spread -6.5	6%
1H Moneyline	6%
Spread -16.5	4%
Spread -7.5	4%
O/U 61.5	4%
Spread -14.5	3%
Spread -13.5	3%
Spread -10.5	3%
O/U 67.5	3%
Spread -17.5	2%
1Q O/U 7.5	0%
1Q O/U 10.5	0%
1Q O/U 13.5	0%
1Q O/U 16.5	0%
1Q O/U 19.5	0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	0%
1Q Spread -3.5	0%
1Q Spread -1.5	0%
1Q Spread -0.5	0%
1Q Moneyline	0%

Market context

Troy vs. Louisiana — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Louisiana, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisiana…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Troy vs. Louisiana".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $296K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?: Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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Troy vs. Louisiana

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Troy vs. Louisiana on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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