Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 87% |
| O/U 37.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 45.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Tennessee O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| South Carolina O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| O/U 47.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 41% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| O/U 55.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| South Carolina O/U 29.5 | 35% |
| South Carolina O/U 32.5 | 35% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| South Carolina O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| South Carolina O/U 26.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 33% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| South Carolina O/U 35.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| O/U 61.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| O/U 63.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 75.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 87% chance of tennessee vs. south carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Tennessee vs. South Carolina on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →