Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -13.5 | 93% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| O/U 36.5 | 92% |
| Spread -16.5 | 91% |
| Spread -19.5 | 89% |
| O/U 38.5 | 89% |
| O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| Spread -17.5 | 86% |
| O/U 42.5 | 85% |
| Spread -20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 44.5 | 79% |
| Spread -23.5 | 78% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| O/U 46.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Spread -25.5 | 73% |
| Sam Houston O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Spread -26.5 | 71% |
| O/U 48.5 | 70% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Spread -27.5 | 68% |
| O/U 50.5 | 67% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Spread -28.5 | 63% |
| Spread -29.5 | 62% |
| Texas Tech O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Spread -30.5 | 61% |
| O/U 52.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 58% |
| Spread -31.5 | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Sam Houston O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Spread -32.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Spread -33.5 | 53% |
| Spread -34.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Texas Tech O/U 44.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| Spread -35.5 | 45% |
| Spread -36.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 44% |
| Spread -37.5 | 43% |
| O/U 58.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Spread -38.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| O/U 60.5 | 37% |
| Spread -39.5 | 36% |
| Spread -40.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| Spread -41.5 | 33% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| O/U 64.5 | 28% |
| Spread -42.5 | 27% |
| Spread -44.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 24% |
| O/U 66.5 | 22% |
| O/U 68.5 | 21% |
| Spread -47.5 | 20% |
| Spread -48.5 | 18% |
| O/U 70.5 | 16% |
| O/U 72.5 | 14% |
| Spread -51.5 | 13% |
| Spread -50.5 | 12% |
| O/U 74.5 | 12% |
| Spread -54.5 | 9% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech | 1% |
Market context
Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech — current market-implied probability: 93%. In the upcoming college football game between Sam Houston and Texas Tech, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game. This market w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $82K.
Methodology
We track Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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