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Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Central Arkansas vs. Florida State" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $117K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
Florida State O/U 23.5100%
Florida State O/U 26.5100%
Florida State O/U 29.5100%
Florida State O/U 32.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 20.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 23.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 26.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 29.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 32.50%
Florida State O/U 35.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 11.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 13.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 15.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 11.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 13.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 15.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 12.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 14.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 16.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of central arkansas vs. florida state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Central Arkansas and Florida State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Central Arkansas vs. Florida State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.

Methodology

We track Central Arkansas vs. Florida State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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