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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $544K Liquidity: $69K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 21.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 22.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 23.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 2 O/U 8.592%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 2 O/U 9.592%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx64%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Total Sets: O/U 2.559%
Completed Match50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set 2 Winner41%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Game Spread +/-1.529%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to japan open tennis championships: valentin vacherot vs alexander blockx. This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Alexander Blockx in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets