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Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner 100% Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.5 98% Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.5 75% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $253K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner100%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.598%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.575%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.530%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel3%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner0%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to swedish open, qualification: carlos sanchez jover vs taro daniel. This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Sanchez Jover and Taro Daniel in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page reviews Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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