Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
58% | 42% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
58% | 42% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 58% |
| Viktor Hovland | 43% |
| Sam Burns | 0% |
| Brian Campbell | 0% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 0% |
| Bud Cauley | 0% |
| Rickie Fowler | 0% |
| Brian Harman | 0% |
| Russell Henley | 0% |
| Tom Hoge | 0% |
| Benjamin James | 0% |
| Si Woo Kim | 0% |
| Jake Knapp | 0% |
| Min Woo Lee | 0% |
| Shane Lowry | 0% |
| Robert MacIntyre | 0% |
| Alexander Noren | 0% |
| Tony Finau | 0% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 0% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 0% |
| Mac Meissner | 0% |
| Collin Morikawa | 0% |
| Andrew Novak | 0% |
| JT Poston | 0% |
| Aaron Rai | 0% |
| Wyndham Clark | 0% |
| Eric Cole | 0% |
| Corey Conners | 0% |
| Jason Day | 0% |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 0% |
| Harris English | 0% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 0% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 0% |
| Maverick McNealy | 0% |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 0% |
| Alex Smalley | 0% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 0% |
| Justin Thomas | 0% |
| J.J. Spaun | 0% |
| Sam Stevens | 0% |
| Sepp Straka | 0% |
| Jackson Suber | 0% |
| Nick Taylor | 0% |
| Sahith Theegala | 0% |
| Gary Woodland | 0% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 0% |
| Daniel Berger | 0% |
| Akshay Bhatia | 0% |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0% |
| Ryan Fox | 0% |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% |
| Lucas Glover | 0% |
| Chris Gotterup | 0% |
| Ben Griffin | 0% |
| Harry Hall | 0% |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 0% |
| Michael Kim | 0% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% |
| Denny McCarthy | 0% |
| Matt McCarty | 0% |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% |
| Justin Rose | 0% |
| Xander Schauffele | 0% |
| Adam Scott | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Jordan Spieth | 0% |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Cameron Young | 0% |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 58% probability to pga tour: travelers championship winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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