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Who will Trump meet with in September?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Who will Trump meet with in September?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 100% Xi Jinping 100% Elon Musk 100% Andy Burnham 100% Volume: $305K Liquidity: $462K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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Who will Trump meet with in September?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Volodymyr Zelenskyy100%
Xi Jinping100%
Elon Musk100%
Andy Burnham100%
Javier Milei100%
Sam Altman46%
Dario Amodei46%
Keir Starmer1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva1%
Mark Carney1%
Kim Jong Un0%
Mohammed bin Salman0%
Vladimir Putin0%
Giorgia Meloni0%
Benjamin Netanyahu0%
Joseph Aoun0%
Miguel Díaz-Canel0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of who will trump meet with in september?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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