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Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 59% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $186K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 1 Winner46%
Map 2 Winner46%
Match Winner45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)41%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.541%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)41%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)31%

Market context

The Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Team Vitality and LOUD in the VCT Champions Group B, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Te…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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