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Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) 90% Volume: $283K Liquidity: $435K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.591%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.555%
Map 2 Winner51%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)50%
Match Winner30%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: sentinels vs krü esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 2 match between Sentinels and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:0…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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