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Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $66K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs Sharper Esport (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs Sharper Esport (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs Sharper Esport (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs Sharper Esport (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs Sharper Esport (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs Sharper Esport (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs Sharper Esport (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: SPE (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)0%

Market context

Rex Regum Qeon faces Sharper Esport in the upper bracket first round of the VCT Pacific Play-In on 13 August, with the match scheduled for 07:00 ET. The winner advances directly; the loser drops to the lower bracket. This is a qualifying tournament for Pacific teams seeking spots in the international VCT franchise league, making seeding and bracket position consequential for both organisations' competitive calendars.

The 0% implied probability on this market reflects either extreme confidence in Rex Regum Qeon or sparse liquidity at settlement. Comparable VCT Pacific Play-In matches historically show tighter odds distributions, with upper-bracket matchups between established regional competitors typically settling between 35–65% depending on recent form and roster changes. Rex Regum Qeon has competed in prior VCT Pacific iterations, whilst Sharper Esport's recent competitive history and roster stability remain less documented in mainstream esports coverage, which may explain the skewed market signal rather than a genuine certainty.

Traders should monitor roster announcements and scrim results in the week preceding 13 August, as last-minute substitutions or stand-in players frequently shift competitive expectations in regional Valorant tournaments. VCT Pacific scheduling updates and any format changes should be cross-checked against official Riot Games announcements. The settlement window closes at 16:25 UTC on match day, allowing roughly nine hours post-scheduled start time for completion; delays beyond 7 August without resolution trigger a 50-50 split. Current sportsbook coverage of VCT Pacific Play-In matches remains limited outside specialist esports betting platforms, making prediction-market pricing the primary price discovery mechanism for this fixture.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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