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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) 100% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $638K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.574%
Map 2 Winner51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)49%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)49%
Match Winner28%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)25%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: nongshim redforce vs g2 esports (bo3) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between Nongshim RedForce and G2 Esports in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 9:45AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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