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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $330K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Match Winner85%
Map 2 Winner62%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)62%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.559%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.554%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)49%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)46%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.545%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between KRÜ Esports and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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