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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Live odds for "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 81% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 59% First Blood in Game 2? 52% Odd/Even Total Kills 51% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $463K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?81%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?59%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?47%
Game 1 Winner41%
Game 2 Winner41%
Match Winner37%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)36%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 81% YES probability for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if We…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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