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LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Match Winner 82% Game 3 Winner 74% Game 2 Winner 72% Game 4 Winner 71% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $12K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 3 Winner74%
Game 2 Winner72%
Game 4 Winner71%
O/U 3.5 Games70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Game 1 Winner45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)30%
O/U 4.5 Games25%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between PCIFIC and Dark Passage in the TCL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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