LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers face BNK FEARX in a single-game group-stage clash at the 2026 KeSPA Cup, originally set for 2:45am ET on 20 July. The match has already concluded, with DN SOOPers securing the win, which aligns with the prediction market’s current 100% YES implied probability for their victory [1].

Historically, prediction markets showing 100% consensus on a completed esports match rarely deviate from settlement, as the outcome is objectively verifiable and no further catalysts exist to alter the result. In comparable LoL group-stage fixtures where one side dominated pre-match odds, markets resolved cleanly without the 50-50 cancellation clause triggering, provided the game commenced and finished under standard rules.

Traders should monitor official KeSPA Cup result confirmations on Strafe Esports, Twitch, or YouTube to validate the settlement, though no active catalysts remain given the match’s completion [1]. With the settlement window closing on 20 July 2026 at 13:10 UTC, the only dependency is the formal confirmation of the win by the tournament organiser, which is already evident from live broadcast records. No sportsbook lines exist for this completed fixture, making the prediction-market probability the sole pricing signal, and it fully reflects the settled outcome.

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.