Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

Level UP meet RE.Arise in an EPL Masters Group B best-of-three, and the market is treating the fixture as effectively decided in Level UP’s favour, with the contract at **100% YES**. That is noticeably firmer than the broader public and model-based signals elsewhere: Strafe’s user vote is about **66.7%** for Level UP, while bo3.gg’s model has Level UP at **71%** and a 2-0 lean, which suggests the prediction market is pricing in a much more one-sided outcome than the comparable esports consensus.[5][1]

The historical frame is that both sides have enough recent match volume for form-based comparisons, but not enough head-to-head stability to justify an absolute price on its own. bo3.gg’s recent results show Level UP trading around mixed form against opponents such as Zero Tenacity, PuckChamp, Yellow Submarine and Team Spirit Academy, while RE.Arise also comes in with a split record against similar-tier competition, including wins over PuckChamp and defeats to Zero Tenacity and Team Syntax.[1] In that context, a 100% market implies traders are either confident the match will be played and won by Level UP, or that there is little visible liquidity left to express dissent.

For traders, the main catalysts are procedural rather than strategic: confirmation that the series starts on time, whether the official EPL Masters bracket or stream listings change, and any sign of substitution, walkover, or scheduling slippage before the settlement window closes. Polymarket’s contract page and other match trackers both list the fixture as a scheduled BO3, but the result still depends on an actual completed winner for normal settlement; if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the contract resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.[4][2][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.