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Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $22K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Winner50%
Map 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-9.5) vs Black Phoenix (+9.5)0%
Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 51.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-9.5) vs Walczaki (+9.5)0%

Market context

Walczaki’s quarter-final against ex-RUSTEC in CCT Europe Series #6 sits close to a coin-flip in the market, with the contract at 50% YES and the match listed as a best-of-three playoff tie. That is broadly consistent with the broader pricing picture: Polymarket’s own matchup note highlighted ex-RUSTEC’s recent head-to-head edge, while outside match pages have also treated the series as a live, evenly contested spot rather than a lopsided one. The most recent comparable results matter here because ex-RUSTEC swept Walczaki 2-0 in CCT Europe Series 5 on 30 July, and again in NODWIN Clutch Series 10 on 3 August, giving ex-RUSTEC the cleaner recent form line going into this rematch.[10][16][20][11]

For traders, the key catalysts are less about rankings and more about whether the bracket and broadcast timings hold. Liquipedia lists CCT Europe Series #6 playoffs as single-elimination BO3s, while match trackers show the fixture slated for 7 August, with some pages already indicating a finished 0-2 result for ex-RUSTEC and others still showing pre-match status, which is exactly the sort of cross-platform inconsistency that can matter if a market is still open or subject to settlement rules.[11][15][8][14] The main watchpoints are official series updates, any schedule drift beyond the seven-day settlement window, and whether a completed result is recognised across event trackers; absent that, the current probability should be read as reflecting a match that looked close on paper but leaned slightly towards ex-RUSTEC on recent head-to-head evidence.[1][8][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Eu… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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