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Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group D

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group D" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Winner 59% O/U 2.5 Games 59% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $363K Liquidity: $627K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Winner59%
O/U 2.5 Games59%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)43%
Match Winner33%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group D prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NIP and 100 Thieves in the StarLadder StarSeries Group D, initially scheduled for July 22 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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