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Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Winner 49% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $116K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner49%
Match Winner47%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 2 Winner32%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)30%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between magic and BIG in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Gl… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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