Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs ENJOY (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs ENJOY (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs ENJOY (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs ENJOY (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs ENJOY (+3.5) | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs ENJOY (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-12.5) vs ENJOY (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs ENJOY (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ENJOY (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
Market context
GenOne’s match with ENJOY in the CCT Europe Series #6 group stage is the sort of best-of-three that prediction markets often price heavily once a team is confirmed to have entered the server, but the current 100% YES crowd read still sits at the extreme end of the range because it implies near-certainty of either a GenOne win or a settlement event that still resolves to GenOne under the contract rules. The tournament itself is a Swiss-format group stage with all matches played as BO3s, and the series is scheduled across 27 July to 8 August, which means this contract depends not just on form, but on whether the fixture is actually completed within the settlement window.[2][3]
Comparable CCT Europe group-stage markets are typically more sensitive to lineup and scheduling certainty than to broad team reputations, especially in lower-tier CS2 where late check-ins, technical pauses and reschedules can matter as much as map strength. Recent match listings show ENJOY already active in the event, including a BO3 against Atreides on 29 July and another scheduled group match versus QUAZAR, while GenOne’s group-stage results page shows the team also playing through the same Swiss bracket; that context makes a hard 100% crowd price look more like a contract-confidence signal than a pure strength rating.[4][5][13]
For traders, the key catalysts are any last-minute schedule changes, official bracket updates, or evidence that one side will not field a full lineup, because the market rules send a cancelled, unplayed, tied or heavily delayed match to 50-50. Sports.ru’s fixture listing shows Enjoy vs GenOne as “not started” at 17:00 local time on 31 July, which is the main operational dependency to watch; if the series begins and finishes normally, the market should settle on the winner, but if it slips beyond the seven-day grace period, the fallback mechanism becomes relevant.[1]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe S… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
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