Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Espor… | Kalshi Vs Polymarket 2026

Name: Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
Start: 2026-08-15T17:45:20.000Z
End: 2026-08-16T20:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	64%	36%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	64%	36%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Match Winner	64%
Map 2 Winner	63%
Map 1 Winner	55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)	51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)	51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)	51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	50%
O/U 2.5 Games	47%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	36%

Market context

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D — current market-implied probability: 64%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between 9z and magic in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

Trade Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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