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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) 91% Match Winner 86% Map 2 Winner 78% Volume: $197K Liquidity: $114K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)91%
Match Winner86%
Map 2 Winner78%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)9%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: 100 thieves vs heroic (bo3) - stake pulse beat ii playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between 100 Thieves and Heroic in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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