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Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

>2M 100% >1M 100% >500k 100% >3M 100% Volume: $603K Liquidity: $208K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
>2M100%
>1M100%
>500k100%
>3M100%
>750k100%
>5M99%
>6M93%
>8M90%
>10M85%
>12M80%
>14M70%
>15M65%
>16M50%
>18M50%
>20M49%
>40M33%
>25M33%
>30M32%
>60M19%
>35M18%
>45M14%
>50M9%
>70M4%
>90M2%
>80M2%
>100M2%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, total commitments for the laso finance public sale on metadao stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Laso Finance raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale o… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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