Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
24% | 76% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
24% | 76% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Texas Longhorns | 24% |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 14% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 13% |
| LSU Tigers | 12% |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 10% |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 5% |
| Mississippi Rebels | 4% |
| USC Trojans | 3% |
| Oregon Ducks | 2% |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 2% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 1% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 1% |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 1% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 1% |
| Florida Gators | 0% |
| Team A | 0% |
| Team B | 0% |
| Team C | 0% |
| Team D | 0% |
| Team E | 0% |
| Team F | 0% |
| Team G | 0% |
| Team H | 0% |
| Team I | 0% |
| Team J | 0% |
| Team K | 0% |
| Team L | 0% |
| Team M | 0% |
| Team N | 0% |
| Team O | 0% |
| Team P | 0% |
| Team Q | 0% |
| Team R | 0% |
| Team S | 0% |
| Team T | 0% |
| Team U | 0% |
| Team V | 0% |
| Team W | 0% |
| Team X | 0% |
| Team Y | 0% |
| Team Z | 0% |
| Team AA | 0% |
| Team AB | 0% |
| Team AC | 0% |
| Team AD | 0% |
| Team AE | 0% |
| Team AF | 0% |
| Team AG | 0% |
| Team AH | 0% |
| Team AI | 0% |
| Team AJ | 0% |
| Team AK | 0% |
| Team AL | 0% |
| Team AM | 0% |
| Team AN | 0% |
| Team AO | 0% |
| Team AP | 0% |
| Team AQ | 0% |
| Team AR | 0% |
| Team AS | 0% |
| Team AT | 0% |
| Team AU | 0% |
| Team AV | 0% |
| Team AW | 0% |
| Team AX | 0% |
| Team AY | 0% |
| Team AZ | 0% |
| Team BA | 0% |
| Team BB | 0% |
| Team BC | 0% |
| Team BD | 0% |
| Team BE | 0% |
| Team BF | 0% |
| Team BG | 0% |
| Team BH | 0% |
| Team BI | 0% |
| Team BJ | 0% |
| Team BK | 0% |
| Team BL | 0% |
| Team BM | 0% |
| Team BN | 0% |
| Team BO | 0% |
| Team BP | 0% |
| Team BQ | 0% |
| Team BR | 0% |
| Team BS | 0% |
| Team BT | 0% |
| Team BU | 0% |
| Team BV | 0% |
| Team BW | 0% |
| Team BX | 0% |
| Team BY | 0% |
| Team BZ | 0% |
| Team CA | 0% |
| Team CB | 0% |
| Team CC | 0% |
| Team CD | 0% |
| Team CE | 0% |
| Team CF | 0% |
| Team CG | 0% |
| Team CH | 0% |
| Team CI | 0% |
| Team CJ | 0% |
| Team CK | 0% |
| Team CL | 0% |
| Team CM | 0% |
| Team CN | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 24% YES probability for NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes imp…
Methodology
This page reviews NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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